North Carolina vs. Kansas on Saturday, April 5th
The Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas
Posted on Wednesday, April 2nd by The Champs at #1 Sports
North Carolina (36-2) earned a tune up against Mount St. Mary’s (113-74) to open their run to the Final Four with their third #1 Seed under Hall of Fame Coach Roy Williams (142-32 in 5th season at Chapel Hill, following 15 seasons at Kansas) but have faced an extremely tough road since that they have negotiated easily with wins over Arkansas (108-77), Washington State (68-47), and Louisville (83-73). An offensive powerhouse with 89.2 points per game (.491 from the field) and dominant on the boards (43.7 per game to 32.2), the Tarheels are led by the most intense player in the nation, All American 6′9″ junior F Tyler Hansbrough (22.8p, 10.3r). Hansbrough is a purebred gym rat, separating himself from the country’s other big men by sheer will and hour after hour improving his current shooting marks of 54.2% from the field and 80.6% from the stripe. Joining our College Player of the Year on the blocks are a trio of scrappers in starter 6′8″ sophomore F Deon Thompson (8.4p, 4.1r, 51 blocks) plus 6′6″ junior F Danny Green (11.4p, 4.9r, 2.0a, 46 blocks) and 6′9″ sophomore F Alex Stepheson (4.4r, 4.7r) but the board work for the Heels is a team effort with no less than 6 players averaging 4.4 rebounds per game including guards 6′5″ junior Marcus Ginyard (7.1p, 4.5r, 2.2a) and 6′4″ sophomore Wayne Ellington (16.6p, 4.4r, 2.1a). North Carolina is efficient from behind the arc at .379 from downtown but rarely fights its battles there (556 attempts vs. 837 for opponents) with only Ellington (77 of 186) and Green (53 of 141) regularly firing from deep. Rather, they use their run and gun tempo plus slashing through the lane to create mismatches and angles for point guard 5′11″ sophomore Ty Lawson to exploit with easy dumps to the big men or feeding Ellington on the move. The offensive pressure that North Carolina outs on teams has been just too much to handle, often resulting in grabbing and holding by defenders and a 960-627 advantage in free throw attempts. Hansbrough, Ellington, Lawson, and Green each shoot better than 80% from the line so pick your poison. So can anyone stop this juggernaut from cutting down the nets Monday night? Only Duke and Maryland were able to beat this squad in 2007-2008 and they did it by spreading the ball around with balanced scoring and thievery at the perimeter. In their victories, the Blue Devils and Terrapins combined for 16 steals versus just 6 for Big Blue with 12 total players scoring between 8 and 22 points. North Carolina has by far the worst defense among the crews left dancing with 72.2 points allowed on .423 shooting from the field and .326 from behind the arc. A degree of these stats can be laughed off to the chosen tempo of Coach Williams but their ranking as 121st in two-point field goal defense is no joke.
Kansas (35-3) coasted through the first three round of the 2008 NCAA Tournament with easy wins over Portland State (85-61), Nevada-Las Vegas (75-56), and Villanova (72-57) but had to dig deep into their defensive bag of tricks to best Davidson by the score of 59-57 to reach their 3rd Final Four in the last 7 years. Winning is not a new experience for Head Coach Bill Self (140-32 in 5th season at Lawrence) with 8 conference titles in the last 10 years (1999-2000 with Tulsa, 2001-2002 with Illinois, 2005-2008 with Kansas) and defense has always been the key. This season’s Jayhawks have limited 19 opponents to under 60 points (61.2 points allowed on .379 shooting from the field) and have held 37 consecutive (109 of their last 112) foes to under 50% shooting from the field. On the blocks Kansas may not posses the All-American talent of the other squads to reach San Antonio but they are deep with 6’9” sophomore F Darrell Arthur (12.7p, 6.1r, 49 blocks) and 6’8” senior Darnell Jackson (11.2p, 6.7r) in the starting lineup plus 6’11” senior C Sasha Kaun (7.3p, 4.0r, 49 blocks) and 6’11” freshman Cole Aldrich (2.7p, 2.9r) bringing depth off the bench that could start for most clubs in the nation. Kaun’s experience has been key in the clutch with 13 points on 6 of 6 shooting plus 6 boards versus Davidson, but it’s their guard play that has them still dancing. 6’1” junior G Mario Chalmers (12.7p, 3.1r, 4.4a, 90 steals) is the squad’s rock at the point and has racked up multiple steals in 11 straight games. 6’1” senior G Russell Robinson (7.4p, 2.8r, 4.1, 75 steals) works the co-point and has had the hot hand with 13.7 points per game over his last 3 contests. 2008 Wooden All-American 6’6” junior G Brandon Rush (13.1p, 5.1r, 2.1a) had to pull his name from the 2007 NBA Draft after tearing an ACL and has been playing the best ball of his career down the stretch with 17.7 points per over the last 6 games. 5’11” sophomore 6th man Sherron Collins (9.2p, 2.1r, 3.0a) brings a ton of energy off the bench and is an unstoppable drive and kick threat. Together, the four Jayhawk smalls have nailed 218 threes in 535 attempts and have flat-out dominated their schedule with their ball handling. Advantages of 692-429 in assists, 335-239 in steals, and a ridiculous 1.407 to 0.724 in assist to turnover ratio make clear where the strengths of Kansas lie. The perimeter belongs to the Birds, 80.6 points per game on .507 shooting from the field and .401 from behind the arc is enough firepower to hang with anyone, advantages of 225-97 in blocked shots and 38.6-30.8 on the glass indicate that their quickness is an equalizer against bigger teams…so just why is it that we can’t sell ourselves on the possibility of Coach Self getting his team to the Championship Game?
FREE SELECTION: These schools have combined for 77 NCAA Tournament appearances, 31 Final Fours, and 8 National Championships but we’re still back to the question of whether anyone can stop the Tarheels on their way to cutting down the nets Monday night? The superior abilities of the Jayhawks to both shoot and steal the ball exactly mirror what Maryland and Duke excelled at to secure victories over the kids from Chapel Hill but the answer is…no. Coach Williams’ crew’s last lost was on January 9th and the calendar may turn again before they suffer their next. Take North Carolina -3.
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